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Bloc votes, a myth?

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Social Weather Station's Leo Rando S. Laroza showing the historical climb of then Mayor Jejomar Binay to the vice presidency in the 2010 elections from a low third placer in pre-poll surveys. (Melo M. Acuña / CBCPNews)

MANILA, May 5, 2016 – With endorsements in support of national candidates coming from various political entities, partylists, and even faith-based groups in a matter of days before elections, facts and figures from previous elections prove all these have had minimal effects on voters’ actual choice.

Social Weather Station’s Leo Rando S. Laroza claims to have data files to prove that different groups’ endorsements only served candidates for local positions.

“Voters vote according to their personal choice and conscience,” Laroza said in an interview at his office in suburban Quezon City.

He said voters are less likely to be convinced by survey results.  He said only 2% of the voters who took part in previous surveys admitted being convinced by trends in surveys made by agencies like SWS.

There is no bandwagon effect to speak of while voters who support underdogs or those who fare poorly in surveys are also minimal.

“They cross out each other,” Laroza said.  Their data also conclude that voters decisions are based on what they learn from political advertisements, news reports, family members, and neighbors.

Asked how he looks at the coming May 9 national elections as of Tuesday afternoon, Laroza said it is still anybody’s ballgame.

It will be recalled presidential candidates have reportedly paid visits to leaders of faith-based groups hoping to get the needed endorsements usually announced a couple of days before the actual voting.  (Melo M. Acuña / CBCPNews)


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